In the long run all inflation is transitory!

Are the currently strong rises in the overall price levels really just transitory, or are they here for the long-run? There is a lot of debate going on about this current run of inflation. Is the only possible conclusion: Inflation – Stagnation – Confusion?

By Ivan Mlinaric, ago

Risk of a Jump in Inflation Increases

The second half of 2021 could see a sharp rise in inflation. This is shown by data from global purchasing managers’ indices. While the situation currently appears to be giving no cause for concern for central banks, prices in supply chains are already running high.

By Ivan Mlinaric, ago

It Is Time for a Little Optimism

As a risk manager, one of the most important tasks is to recognize the danger in good times and to soberly analyze the future in bad. Times are currently bad – but from a purely analytical perspective, the outlook is changing. It’s time for some optimism.

By Ivan Mlinaric, ago
Euro sign in Frankfurt

Euro-Dogmatiker und Euro-Realisten

Dogmatiker des Euro stellen die pragmatische Niedrigzins-Politik der EZB als nicht mandatsgerecht in Frage. Dabei sind die niedrigen Zinsen überlebenswichtig für die hoch verschuldeten Eurostaaten. Eine Fortsetzung der aktuellen EZB-Linie scheint deshalb das geringere Risiko. Das dogmatische Durchsetzen höherer Zinsen könnte den Euro sprengen und stellt das größte Risiko für Anleger dar.

By Ivan Mlinaric, ago
Green river, USA

The Sales Potential Formula

Anybody with an interest in the distribution of asset management products has made the observation that the sales success of a fund or other financial product in a market does not have a direct relationship to the resources that are being invested in the sales efforts. But what does determine the ultimate sales success?

By Dr Oliver Roll, ago